2012 AP file photo

Lt. Gov. Delbert Hosemann said Tuesday that touch choices awaited the state Legislature.

The Mississippi Legislature could be facing the most difficult decisions of the past century in terms of developing a budget for the next fiscal year and in getting through the current fiscal year, Lt. Gov. Delbert Hosemann said Tuesday after hearing an update on the state’s economic outlook.

Legislators were interested in the briefing for two reasons. They not only want to know the economic outlook of the state, but they also are trying to understand how state revenue collections would be impacted by the economy.

In other words, legislators want to know what will be the level of the cuts they’ll have to make.

Hosemann projected that revenue collections could be below the estimate used to construct the current $6 billion budget by as much as $400 million for the current fiscal year and down as much as $800 million for the next fiscal year, beginning July 1. If Hosemann is correct, that could force legislators to make double digit cuts in the state budget for the upcoming fiscal year, though, they do have reserve funds that could be used to offset the cuts.

But at any rate, legislators were told that it will take time for the nation and the state to recover from the economic slowdown caused by the coronavirus.

“We have essentially slammed on the brakes, resulting in a rapid and precipitous decline in the national economy,” said State Economist Darrin Webb who briefed senators and Hosemann Tuesday as they resumed the 2020 session with the intent of completing a budget in late June.

Webb said such a rapid decline was unprecedented and that the level of economic growth would not return to pre COVID-19 levels until sometime in 2022 on a national level and not before 2023 in the state. He said Mississippi routinely trails the nation in recovering from economic downturns.

Webb pointed out that at the end of 2019 Mississippi’s gross domestic product (total value of goods produced and services) was still slightly below the pre-recession 2008 peak and that jobs had only recently surpassed the 2008 peak in Mississippi.

And then in the first quarter of 2020 the bottom dropped out as the economy  was shut down because of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Webb said the economies of the state and of the nation will begin growing in the third quarter of 2020, but the growth will be from such a low level that it will take time for the recovery to be completed.

“This will be a short recession, but it will be a slow recovery,” Webb said.

He said the nation’s GDP dropped in the first quarter by an annualized rate 36.5 percent and that the state’s GDP plummeted on an annualized level of 43.6 percent. Webb said projections are that the economy will begin rebounding, leaving the nation’s GDP at a decline of 7.3 percent for the year and the state’s decline at 7.6 percent. By contrast the decline during the Great Recession on the national level was 2.3 percent and 4.7 percent on a state level.

The projected decline on the national level would represent the biggest drop in the GDP since after World War 11 when the economic production needed to fight the war was abruptly stopped.

Webb said the growth in jobs will occur slower than the increase in the GDP. The U.S. lost more than 21 million jobs in March and April while the state lost 117,00 jobs in April. In the Great Recession that started in 2008, the state lost 78,000 jobs.

One of the first decisions that legislators will need to make in crafting a budget is how to deal with about $350 million in personal income tax collections for the current year, but will not be collected until July of the next fiscal year. The issue has developed because state leaders opted to allow people to postpone filing their taxes from April 15 in the current year to July 15 in the next fiscal year.

If legislators opt to use those funds in next year’s budget it would place more of a burden on legislators to balance the budget for the current fiscal year.

“It is just a shell game anyway you go,” Revenue Commissioner Herb Frierson told legislators. The budget strain will be intensified in the year that the collections are not used.

In other words, it appears legislators have no easy answers.

The post Legislators face historically tough budget choices with shortfall projections as much as $1.2 billion appeared first on Mississippi Today.

Rick Cleveland

Jake Mangum answers reporters’ questions in a somber Mississippi State locker room after Bulldogs were eliminated from the College World Series last June.

Today is Memorial Day. It’s sunny. Warm. Guys should be playing baseball. We should be watching baseball.

Jake Mangum needs to be playing baseball.

For Mangum, who turned 24 on March 8, time is of the essence. Twenty-four is a ripe age to be entering your first season of professional baseball. He’s on the clock, and he knows it.

“I just want to go play baseball,” Mangum said Thursday morning, before taking some swings in the batting cages at Jackson Prep. “Actually, I don’t just want to be playing, I need to be playing.”

Rick Cleveland

The 2020 baseball season is on hold. Mangum’s career is on hold. If you know Jake Mangum, you know how hellish that is for him. He absolutely loves the sport and plays it as hard as it can be played. He’s on the field before anyone else and his uniform is dirty before anyone’s. He plays fast. He can’t stand to be idle.

He began this spring at the New York Mets’ Major League camp as an invited non-Major League roster player. He got his first hit against Major League pitching on Feb. 22. He had hoped to begin this season with the Mets’ Port St. Lucie ballclub in high Class A League baseball.

And now he knows there might not be any minor league season at all. And so he spends his days working out, taking swings, lifting weights, making himself stronger.

“When they call and say it’s time to play, I am going to be ready,” he says.

He looks ready. Actually, he looks noticeably bigger – broader in the shoulders and upper body. He has put on 15 pounds of mostly muscle and now weighs 195 pounds. That’s more than his dad, John Mangum, weighed when he played nine years of cornerback for the Chicago Bears.

Jake Mangum says he is hitting the ball harder and farther. At Mississippi State, he became the Southeastern Conference’s all-time hits leader with 383, but only five of those were home runs. And while he’s never going to be a home run slugger, some of his line drives could become gappers and some of those singles could become doubles and triples.

He has tinkered with his swing, working with both his father and with Mets hitting instructor Trey Hannam. His swing, he says, is now more level instead of swinging down at the ball. The early results have been promising, Mangum says.

Brooklyn Cyclones

Mangum, hitting for the Brooklyn Cyclones, last summer.

After State’s 2019 season ended June 20 in the College World Series, Mangum spent the rest of the summer playing for the Mets’ rookie league team, the Brooklyn Cyclones, in the New York-Penn League. He hit .247 with 45 hits and 17 stolen bases in 53 games.

“I had a good summer. I felt like it was a good start,” he says.

But he felt like he made much more progress last fall when he went to the Mets’ Dominican Republic baseball academy and produced nine hits in 12 at bats during limited game action. “Big strides there,” he said. “I really hit it well.”

All that – and the added muscle – had him more than eager to begin his first full year of pro baseball, which is currently in a holding pattern.

Major League owners and players are squabbling, of course, over how this season will unfold and how the reduced revenue will be divided. There are safety concerns, of course. And there are indications we could learn much more this week. A scheduled meeting between the two sides Tuesday hopefully will resolve some issues.

Nothing in minor league baseball will be decided until Major League baseball comes up with a plan. There could be a reduced season. There could be no minor league season.

Mangum waits and says he can see both sides of the issue.

He just wants to play.

Meanwhile, he has begun a new podcast “The Jake Mangum Show” on Apple Podcasts.

“This seemed a good as time as any to pick up a new craft,” Mangum says.

Yes, he said, a career in broadcasting is something he has considered, post-baseball, which he hopes is in the distant future.

Said Mangum, “I’m going to play until they rip the jersey off my back.”

The post Jake Mangum is a fast-forward baseballer with his career currently on pause appeared first on Mississippi Today.

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